Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 7.944332 8.766453 9.661573 10.712694 11.918461 13.264610 14.889880
2026-01-18 6.935987 8.043868 9.332540 10.957283 12.972509 15.418674 18.657374
2026-01-25 6.137967 7.350848 8.824098 10.772673 13.324180 16.612634 21.275609
2026-02-01 5.571618 6.842545 8.440062 10.636196 13.643243 17.720080 23.856314
2026-02-08 5.109931 6.406188 8.082259 10.462303 13.848019 18.645633 26.262976
2026-02-15 4.713716 6.012809 7.733261 10.245312 13.939874 19.384776 28.460092
2026-02-22 4.431464 5.744460 7.522648 10.188257 14.235927 20.434077 31.277271
2026-03-01 4.095894 5.376249 7.140782 9.841466 14.048460 20.693886 32.794780
2026-03-08 3.757525 4.981388 6.691757 9.353732 13.587477 20.448524 33.368250
2026-03-15 3.545790 4.752452 6.465001 9.180576 13.601754 20.978452 35.419054
2026-03-22 3.609652 4.921965 6.830375 9.948021 15.219420 24.446489 43.728637
2026-03-29 3.528168 4.871085 6.858924 10.178325 15.951604 26.432228 49.479027
2026-04-05 3.332675 4.644162 6.611470 9.951575 15.887748 26.973114 52.353149
2026-04-12 3.256067 4.593358 6.635007 10.179028 16.664028 29.252369 59.746458
2026-04-19 3.100468 4.411483 6.437908 10.011139 16.687478 30.016595 63.684893
2026-04-26 2.966713 4.256438 6.274111 9.887120 16.778719 30.930530 68.236667
2026-05-03 2.836548 4.100362 6.099182 9.729024 16.785493 31.660299 72.490717
2026-05-10 2.708388 3.941347 5.910440 9.531639 16.693307 32.155665 76.225666
2026-05-17 2.616272 3.836029 5.805551 9.479720 16.890420 33.339786 82.346193
2026-05-24 2.482756 3.657590 5.567816 9.163962 16.509259 33.108311 84.022120
2026-05-31 2.334475 3.449578 5.270757 8.719337 15.820608 32.055671 82.811828
2026-06-07 2.244359 3.334273 5.128417 8.561332 15.733811 32.478721 86.682364
2026-06-14 2.301521 3.465630 5.420431 9.261015 17.590679 38.130797 111.132826